States above the diagonal are where Clinton exceeded targets, below Sanders is exceeding target, more in my (first!) blog post. Arbitrarely, positive indicates “Clinton-ness”, 0 is neutral and negative is “Sanders-ness”.

Because the distance from the diagonal is what we care about, here’s a change of coordinates: The targets used are:

• Cook Political Report, Jan 21.
• Cook Political Report, Feb 12.
• my first attempt (white*2012 Democratic vote share)
• FiveThirtyEight’s targets